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Enrollment Projections and Degree Estimates 2024-25 to 2029-30 , October Submissions
Enrollment Projections (Oct. 2025) |
Actuals and projected In-State and Out-of-State Students
Revised Enrollment Projections 2025, Third Submissions
Sector:
All Publics and Privates
All Privates
All Public Four-years
Public Two-years
All Four-years
All Publics
Institution:
Select an institution
Grand Total, All Reporting Institutions
Total Private, Four-Year Institutions
Total Public Four-Year Institutions
Total Public Two-Year Institutions
Virginia Community College System
Appalachian College of Pharmacy
Averett University
Bluefield University
Bridgewater College
Christendom College
Christopher Newport University
Divine Mercy University
Eastern Mennonite University
Eastern Virginia Medical School (Merged w/Old Dominion U)
ECPI University (For-Profit)
Edward Via College of Osteopathic Medicine
Emory & Henry College
Ferrum College
George Mason University
George Washington University
Hampden-Sydney College
Hampton University
Hollins University
James Madison University
Jefferson College of Health Sciences (Merged w/Radford U)
Liberty University
Longwood University
Mary Baldwin University
Marymount University
Norfolk State University
Old Dominion University
Radford University
Randolph College
Randolph-Macon College
Regent University
Richard Bland College
Roanoke College
Shenandoah University
Southern Virginia University
Sweet Briar College
University of Lynchburg
University of Mary Washington
University of Richmond
University of Virginia
University of Virginia's College at Wise
Virginia Commonwealth University
Virginia Intermont College (CLOSED)
Virginia Military Institute
Virginia State University
Virginia Tech
Virginia Union University
Virginia Wesleyan University
Washington and Lee University
William & Mary
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Enrollment Projections - Grand Total, All Reporting Institutions
Fall Term
High School Dual Enrollment (HSDE)
Undergraduate (Excl. HSDE)
Graduate
First Professional
Total Enrollment
Headcount
FTE
Headcount
FTE
Headcount
FTE
Headcount
FTE
Headcount
FTE
2024
56,708
20,387
379,078
341,754
106,075
85,280
11,435
13,012
553,296
460,433
2025
59,309
20,258
383,215
304,929
106,653
67,229
11,907
8,896
561,084
381,054
2026
59,522
22,804
385,565
349,306
106,050
96,194
8,927
9,731
560,066
455,232
2027
60,576
23,147
388,531
352,443
107,240
97,359
8,983
9,806
565,333
459,609
2028
61,432
23,429
392,244
355,423
108,912
98,553
9,099
9,989
571,690
463,966
2029
62,117
23,646
395,416
358,525
110,581
100,358
9,205
10,140
577,320
469,022
% chg.
4.4%
16.0%
4.3%
4.9%
17.7%
-19.5%
-22.1%
4.3%
1.9%
Projection Range Differences from Projection Midline
Fall Term
High School Dual Enrollment (HSDE)
Undergraduate (Excl. HSDE)
Graduate
First Professional
Total Enrollment
Low
High
Low
High
Low
High
Low
High
Low
High
2026
-3,184
(
-5.3%
)
3,175
(
5.3%
)
19,248
(
-5.0%
)
15,784
(
5.0%
)
-7,589
(
-7.2%
)
6,796
(
7.2%
)
-190
(
-2.1%
)
175
(
2.0%
)
-30,211
(
-5.4%
)
25,931
(
4.6%
)
2027
-3,236
(
-5.3%
)
3,226
(
5.3%
)
19,535
(
-5.0%
)
17,948
(
5.0%
)
-8,227
(
-7.7%
)
6,751
(
7.7%
)
-221
(
-2.5%
)
172
(
1.9%
)
-31,218
(
-5.5%
)
28,097
(
5.0%
)
2028
-3,278
(
-5.3%
)
3,267
(
5.3%
)
20,711
(
-5.3%
)
19,662
(
5.3%
)
-8,786
(
-8.1%
)
6,928
(
8.1%
)
-276
(
-3.0%
)
192
(
2.1%
)
-33,050
(
-5.8%
)
30,049
(
5.3%
)
2029
-3,313
(
-5.3%
)
3,300
(
5.3%
)
21,607
(
-5.5%
)
21,693
(
5.5%
)
-9,284
(
-8.4%
)
6,816
(
8.4%
)
-333
(
-3.6%
)
202
(
2.2%
)
-34,536
(
-6.0%
)
32,011
(
5.5%
)
Note: Institutions were asked to consider the following in this resubmission of their original enrollment projections. 1) The Western Interstate Compact for Higher Education (WICHE) in their 2024 projections of high school graduates, projected 91,213 graduates compared to 94,328 actual graduates from public high schools. The anticipated peak between now and 2029 is this year, with 95,937 graduates and a decline through 2033, with a peak in 2034 and continued decline to 83,941 in 2042. While typically these projections have been found to be conservative and understate the actual numbers below, staff is of the opinion that they may overstate the supply of high school graduates in that they may contain approximately 5% undocumented students each year, according to the Higher Education Immigratation portal. 2) Graduate PLUS loans are eliminated effective July1, 2026. The remaining federal graduate loan program now has annual limits of $20,500 for graduate students and $50,000 for professional students. The aggregate limit for graduate programs is now $100,000 and $200,000 for professional students. While there are no changes to existing undergraduate loan limits, there is now a lifetime limit of $275,000 on all federal loans. In 2023-24, this limit would have impacted at least 1,753 students/graduates who have federal loan totals in excess of the new limit to a maximum of $622,896.
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