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Enrollment Projections and Degree Estimates 2024-25 to 2029-30 , October Submissions
Enrollment Projections (Oct. 2025) |
Sector:
All Publics and Privates
All Privates
All Public Four-years
Public Two-years
All Four-years
All Publics
Institution:
Select an institution
Grand Total, All Reporting Institutions
Total Private, Four-Year Institutions
Total Public Four-Year Institutions
Total Public Two-Year Institutions
Virginia Community College System
Appalachian College of Pharmacy
Averett University
Bluefield University
Bridgewater College
Christendom College
Christopher Newport University
Divine Mercy University
Eastern Mennonite University
Eastern Virginia Medical School (Merged w/Old Dominion U)
ECPI University (For-Profit)
Edward Via College of Osteopathic Medicine
Emory & Henry College
Ferrum College
George Mason University
George Washington University
Hampden-Sydney College
Hampton University
Hollins University
James Madison University
Jefferson College of Health Sciences (Merged w/Radford U)
Liberty University
Longwood University
Mary Baldwin University
Marymount University
Norfolk State University
Old Dominion University
Radford University
Randolph College
Randolph-Macon College
Regent University
Richard Bland College
Roanoke College
Shenandoah University
Southern Virginia University
Sweet Briar College
University of Lynchburg
University of Mary Washington
University of Richmond
University of Virginia
University of Virginia's College at Wise
Virginia Commonwealth University
Virginia Intermont College (CLOSED)
Virginia Military Institute
Virginia State University
Virginia Tech
Virginia Union University
Virginia Wesleyan University
Washington and Lee University
William & Mary
Variable:
Enrollment (Grand Total)
Undergraduate Enrollment
Undergraduate (excl.HS Dual Enrollment)
High School Dual Enrollment
First-time in College
New Transfers
Graduate Enrollment
First Professional Enrollment
First-time in College, Online Only
New Transfer, Online Only
FTE (Grand Total)
Undergraduate FTE (excl.HS Dual Enrollment)
High School Dual Enrollment FTE
Undergraduate FTE
Graduate FTE
First Professional FTE
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Note: Institutions were asked to consider the following in this resubmission of their original enrollment projections. 1) The Western Interstate Compact for Higher Education (WICHE) in their 2024 projections of high school graduates, projected 91,213 graduates compared to 94,328 actual graduates from public high schools. The anticipated peak between now and 2029 is this year, with 95,937 graduates and a decline through 2033, with a peak in 2034 and continued decline to 83,941 in 2042. While typically these projections have been found to be conservative and understate the actual numbers below, staff is of the opinion that they may overstate the supply of high school graduates in that they may contain approximately 5% undocumented students each year, according to the Higher Education Immigratation portal. 2) Graduate PLUS loans are eliminated effective July1, 2026. The remaining federal graduate loan program now has annual limits of $20,500 for graduate students and $50,000 for professional students. The aggregate limit for graduate programs is now $100,000 and $200,000 for professional students. While there are no changes to existing undergraduate loan limits, there is now a lifetime limit of $275,000 on all federal loans. In 2023-24, this limit would have impacted at least 1,753 students/graduates who have federal loan totals in excess of the new limit to a maximum of $622,896.
Enrollment Projections - Grand Total, All Reporting Institutions
Fall Term
In-State
Out-of-State
Total
Low Bound
Projection
High Bound
Low Bound
Projection
High Bound
Low Bound
Projection
High Bound
2024
327,690
108,096
435,786
2025
335,207
107,317
442,524
2026
321,302
338,366
352,932
101,352
106,723
111,114
422,657
445,089
464,049
2027
324,570
341,843
358,042
101,765
107,266
112,238
426,339
449,109
470,284
2028
327,118
345,272
362,755
102,569
108,407
113,850
429,691
453,678
476,608
2029
329,003
347,793
366,791
103,609
109,742
115,734
432,616
457,534
482,527
Enrollment Projections - Change in Enrollment
In-State
Out-of-State
Total
Low Bound
Projection
High Bound
Low Bound
Projection
High Bound
Low Bound
Projection
High Bound
% Change
2.4%
6.1%
3.9%
2.2%
4.2%
1.5%
2.4%
5.0%
4.0%
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